Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:30

Prediction: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmez

Team pages: Maya Joint · Zeynep Sonmez

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Maya Joint Zeynep Sonmez
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWWW
Zeynep Sonmez 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1543 · Zeynep Sonmez 1482
Maya JointZeynep Sonmez
Our model59%41%
Market47%53%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maya Joint (rating 1543 vs 1482).
  • Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Maya JointZeynep Sonmez
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)12.8-11.610.1-10.8
Aces1.70.8
Double faults4.13.8
1st serve %61.6%63.5%
Break %60%61.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maya Joint

LLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Kayla Day
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
17/10 Kyoka Okamura
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/10 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
30/09 Sinja Kraus
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
27/09 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Seoul · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/09 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/09 Dayeon Back
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/09 Xinxin Yao
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
03/09 Elina Svitolina
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
31/08 Ludmilla Samsonova
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 15-10 W

Zeynep Sonmez

LLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
11/10 Sinja Kraus
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/10 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/09 Maddison Inglis
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
16/09 Iva Jovic
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
15/09 Iryna Shymanovich
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
02/09 Coco Gauff
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/08 Amanda Anisimova
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/08 Daria Kasatkina
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
05/08 Maria Sakkari
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmez?

Our model gives 52% to Maya Joint, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.