Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:30

Prediction: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones

Team pages: Ann Li · Emerson Jones

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Ann Li Emerson Jones
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWLLWL
Emerson Jones 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ann Li 1549 · Emerson Jones 1523
Ann LiEmerson Jones
Our model54%46%
Market74%26%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Ann LiEmerson Jones
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.5-11.411.8-10.8
Aces6.22.1
Double faults43.1
1st serve %70%62.5%
Break %39%48.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ann Li

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Iga Swiatek
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/10 Janice Tjen
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
14/10 Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
07/10 Elina Svitolina
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/10 Belinda Bencic
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/10 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/09 Linda Noskova
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
03/09 Donna Vekic
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
31/08 Antonia Ruzic
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
29/08 Diane Parry
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Emerson Jones

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Heather Watson
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/10 Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Suzhou · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
06/10 Mai Hontama
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/10 Alexandra Shubladze
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/10 Kyoka Okamura
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
30/09 Chenting Zhu
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Haruka Kaji
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/09 Yexin Ma
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 8-15 L
25/08 Suzan Lamens
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
11/08 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Emerson Jones?

Our model gives 65% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.