Tennis · Challenger Florence · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca Cadenasso
Team pages: Sandro Kopp · Gianluca Cadenasso
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandro Kopp
Gianluca Cadenasso
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sandro Kopp
5-5 (W-L)
Gianluca Cadenasso
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandro Kopp 1453 · Gianluca Cadenasso 1569
| Sandro Kopp | Gianluca Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gianluca Cadenasso (rating 1453 vs 1569).
- Gianluca Cadenasso is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sandro Kopp | Gianluca Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.8 | 13.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 69% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandro Kopp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca Cadenasso?
Our model gives 68% to Gianluca Cadenasso, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.