Tennis · Challenger Florence · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Andrej Nedic vs Gabriele Piraino
Team pages: Andrej Nedic · Gabriele Piraino
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrej Nedic
Gabriele Piraino
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andrej Nedic
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Piraino
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrej Nedic 1512 · Gabriele Piraino 1462
| Andrej Nedic | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrej Nedic (rating 1512 vs 1462).
- Andrej Nedic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrej Nedic | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.8 | 8.7-11 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrej Nedic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Filippo Romano Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 31/08 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/08 | Juan Estevez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Gabriele Piraino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Jay Clarke Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 11/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrej Nedic vs Gabriele Piraino?
Our model gives 65% to Andrej Nedic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.