Tennis · Challenger Florence · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Franco Agamenone vs Max Houkes
Team pages: Franco Agamenone · Max Houkes
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Agamenone
Max Houkes
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Agamenone
3-7 (W-L)
Max Houkes
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Agamenone 1420 · Max Houkes 1625
| Franco Agamenone | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 76% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1420 vs 1625).
- Max Houkes is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Franco Agamenone | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-14.4 | 13.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 61.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Agamenone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/09 | John Sperle Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Jack Loge Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Agamenone vs Max Houkes?
Our model gives 78% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.