Tennis · Challenger Florence · 20/10, 10:00

Prediction: Francesco Forti vs Jonas Forejtek

Team pages: Francesco Forti · Jonas Forejtek

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Francesco Forti Jonas Forejtek
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Forti 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLLL
Jonas Forejtek 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francesco Forti 1500 · Jonas Forejtek 1573
Francesco FortiJonas Forejtek
Our model40%60%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonas Forejtek (rating 1500 vs 1573).

Statistics

Francesco FortiJonas Forejtek
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11.9-10.512.3-10.9
Aces42.1
Double faults31.4
1st serve %67.8%64.3%
Break %33.3%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francesco Forti

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Catania · Clay
1-2 18-16 L
06/10 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Palermo · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
26/09 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/09 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
24/09 Alejandro Juan Mano
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
22/09 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Mika Brunold
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/09 Gianluca Cadenasso
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/09 Pedro Martinez
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
07/09 Federico Iannaccone
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Jonas Forejtek

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Matthew William Donald
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/10 Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
13/10 Michele Mecarelli
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/10 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Palermo · Clay
1-2 16-19 L
10/10 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 19-17 W
09/10 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
07/10 Martin Krumich
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
05/10 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
27/09 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/09 Adrian Andreev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 16-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francesco Forti vs Jonas Forejtek?

Our model gives 62% to Jonas Forejtek, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.