Tennis · Challenger Florence · 18/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mattia Nannelli vs Dimitris Sakellaridis
Team pages: Mattia Nannelli · Dimitris Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattia Nannelli
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mattia Nannelli
4-6 (W-L)
Dimitris Sakellaridis
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattia Nannelli 1509 · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1496
| Mattia Nannelli | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mattia Nannelli | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.1 | 10.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattia Nannelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | George Lazarov M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/10 | Aleksandar Tolev M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Alexander Vasilev M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Rodion Chetverikov M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Andrea Paolini M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | David Tixhon M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/03 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 25/02 | Sandro Kopp M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Dimitris Sakellaridis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/10 | Robert Guna Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 20/09 | Alessandro Ceppellini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattia Nannelli vs Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 61% to Dimitris Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.