Tennis · Challenger Florence · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Yanaki Milev
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Yanaki Milev
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Yanaki Milev
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
5-5 (W-L)
Yanaki Milev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1547 · Yanaki Milev 1554
| Pavel Lagutin | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.3 | 12.9-10 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 42% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Michael Geerts Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Matthieu Roehrich Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Yanaki Milev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 58% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.