Tennis · Challenger Florence · 18/10, 11:30
Prediction: Jakub Vrba vs Alex Marti Pujolras
Team pages: Jakub Vrba · Alex Marti Pujolras
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Vrba
Alex Marti Pujolras
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Vrba
3-7 (W-L)
Alex Marti Pujolras
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Vrba 1511 · Alex Marti Pujolras 1497
| Jakub Vrba | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jakub Vrba makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Jakub Vrba | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.4 | 11.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Vrba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 11/10 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Ryan Colby M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexander Frusina M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicholas Mekhael M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 11/10 | John Sperle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Oleg Covian Roca de Togores Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Vrba vs Alex Marti Pujolras?
Our model gives 61% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.