Tennis · WTA Ningbo WD · 21/10, 07:00
Prediction: Guo/Mladenovic vs Aoyama/Liang
Team pages: Guo/Mladenovic · Aoyama/Liang
Prediction summary
Winner
Guo/Mladenovic
Aoyama/Liang
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Guo/Mladenovic
6-4 (W-L)
Aoyama/Liang
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Guo/Mladenovic
0–1
Aoyama/Liang
(1 last)
- 03 Jun0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guo/Mladenovic 1501 · Aoyama/Liang 1446
| Guo/Mladenovic | Aoyama/Liang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guo/Mladenovic (rating 1501 vs 1446).
- Guo/Mladenovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Guo/Mladenovic 0–1 Aoyama/Liang (1).
- Note: Guo/Mladenovic makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Guo/Mladenovic | Aoyama/Liang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.7 | 10.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Guo/Mladenovic 0 – 1 Aoyama/Liang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guo/Mladenovic 0–1 Aoyama/Liang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 French Open WD | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guo/Mladenovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Hunter/Siniakova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Lumsden/Panova WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Chwalinska/Linette US Open WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Hsieh/Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kostyuk/Stearns WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Kato/Kichenok WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-22 | L |
| 12/07 | Dabrowski/Stefani Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Jiang/Xu Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Siniakova/Townsend Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Aoyama/Liang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Kozyreva/Stearns WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-23 | L |
| 06/10 | Danilina/Krawczyk WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Neel/Olmos US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Joint/Xu WTA Monterrey WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Chwalinska/Kraus WTA Monterrey WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Monterrey WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Routliffe/Sutjiadi WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Neel/Olmos WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Chan/Joint WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Dabrowski/Stefani Wimbledon WD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guo/Mladenovic vs Aoyama/Liang?
Our model gives 58% to Guo/Mladenovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.