Tennis · WTA Ningbo WD · 21/10, 07:00
Prediction: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez vs Errani/Paolini
Team pages: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez · Errani/Paolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Errani/Paolini
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Errani/Paolini
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
0–1
Errani/Paolini
(1 last)
- 12 Feb1-2 11-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 1555 · Errani/Paolini 1585
| Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | Errani/Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 0–1 Errani/Paolini (1).
Statistics
| Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | Errani/Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.6 | 13.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 0 – 1 Errani/Paolini (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 0–1 Errani/Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 WTA Doha WD | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Jiang/Wang WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Alexandrova/Stollar WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-22 | W |
| 19/09 | Kobori/Plipuech WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Kozyreva/Lumsden WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Dolehide/Khromacheva WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Cabezas Dominguez/Gomez Pezuela Cano WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Siniakova/Townsend US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Errani/Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Danilina/Zhang WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Fernandez/Gibson WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Dabrowski/Stefani WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Boulter/Starodubtseva WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Detiuc/Wu WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Guo/Jiang Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Chong/Tjen WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Maduzzi/Paganetti WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Siegemund/Zvonareva WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez vs Errani/Paolini?
Our model gives 53% to Errani/Paolini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.