Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:00

Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara

Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Ena Shibahara

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Moyuka Uchijima Ena Shibahara
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLW
Ena Shibahara 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1465 · Ena Shibahara 1594
Moyuka UchijimaEna Shibahara
Our model32%68%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ena Shibahara (rating 1465 vs 1594).
  • Ena Shibahara is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Moyuka UchijimaEna Shibahara
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.7-0.5
Games (G-P)11.5-12.512-7.2
Aces2.95.2
Double faults5.31.1
1st serve %69.9%74.2%
Break %43.8%52.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moyuka Uchijima

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Suzhou · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
29/09 Yeon Woo Ku
Asian Games
2-1 17-15 W
21/09 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
26/08 Lucie Havlickova
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
25/08 Polona Hercog
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Harriet Dart
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
05/08 Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/08 Cristina Bucsa
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/08 Himeno Sakatsume
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Maddison Inglis
WTA Vancouver · Hard
1-2 14-18 L

Ena Shibahara

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/10 Naho Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 12-5 W
10/10 I Wen Wan
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 13-8 W
09/10 Mutsumi Uemura
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 12-6 W
08/10 Monique Barry
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 12-1 W
07/10 Ya-Yi Yang
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-1 17-12 W
19/09 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Kyoto
0-2 6-12 L
18/09 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Yuno Kitahara
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-3 W
15/09 Sakura Hosogi
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-5 W
25/07 Emma Dong
WTA Vancouver · Hard
1-2 12-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara?

Our model gives 58% to Ena Shibahara, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.