Prediction: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic
Team pages: Paula Badosa · Antonia Ruzic
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Badosa
Antonia Ruzic
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Badosa
4-6 (W-L)
Antonia Ruzic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paula Badosa
1–0
Antonia Ruzic
(1 last)
- 26 Sept2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Badosa 1526 · Antonia Ruzic 1481
| Paula Badosa | Antonia Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Badosa (rating 1526 vs 1481).
- Head-to-head: Paula Badosa 1–0 Antonia Ruzic (1).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Paula Badosa | Antonia Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.5 | 11.2-12 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Paula Badosa 1 – 0 Antonia Ruzic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paula Badosa 1–0 Antonia Ruzic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/25 WTA Beijing | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Badosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Daria Kasatkina US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 23/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Antonia Ruzic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rovereto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Anna Siskova WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Julia Riera WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Ann Li US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic?
Our model gives 64% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.