Prediction: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume
Team pages: Katie Boulter · Himeno Sakatsume
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Boulter
Himeno Sakatsume
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Boulter
4-6 (W-L)
Himeno Sakatsume
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katie Boulter
0–1
Himeno Sakatsume
(1 last)
- 07 May0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Boulter 1454 · Himeno Sakatsume 1531
| Katie Boulter | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Himeno Sakatsume (rating 1454 vs 1531).
- Himeno Sakatsume is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Katie Boulter 0–1 Himeno Sakatsume (1).
- Note: Katie Boulter makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Katie Boulter | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-12.3 | 13.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 65% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Katie Boulter 0 – 1 Himeno Sakatsume (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katie Boulter 0–1 Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/23 ITF W80 Gifu | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Boulter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Mai Hontama WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Noskova Billie Jean King Cup · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Karolina Muchova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Simona Waltert WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Dominika Salkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Dayeon Back Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Taylah Preston WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 31/08 | Anhelina Kalinina US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Tyra Caterina Grant US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Our model gives 53% to Katie Boulter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.