Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:00

Prediction: Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo

Team pages: Lanlana Tararudee · Kaitlin Quevedo

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Lanlana Tararudee Kaitlin Quevedo
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lanlana Tararudee 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWW
Kaitlin Quevedo 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanlana Tararudee 1508 · Kaitlin Quevedo 1566
Lanlana TararudeeKaitlin Quevedo
Our model42%58%
Market64%36%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaitlin Quevedo (rating 1508 vs 1566).
  • Note: Lanlana Tararudee makes many double faults (5.5/match).
  • Note: Kaitlin Quevedo makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Lanlana TararudeeKaitlin Quevedo
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.5-1
Games (G-P)11.2-11.212.8-10.3
Aces5.11.5
Double faults5.54
1st serve %70.6%69%
Break %42.5%49.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanlana Tararudee

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 8-14 L
12/10 Diane Parry
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/10 Caty McNally
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
10/10 Claire Liu
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/10 Maria Camila Osorio
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/09 Maya Joint
WTA Seoul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
23/09 Sohyun Park
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
21/09 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
03/09 Linda Noskova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/08 Elvina Kalieva
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 18-12 W

Kaitlin Quevedo

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Nadia Podoroska
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
19/09 Anna Blinkova
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
18/09 Teodora Kostovic
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/09 Anastasia Tikhonova
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
10/09 Claire Liu
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
09/09 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
08/09 Anna Rogers
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
01/09 Elise Mertens
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
24/08 Ekaterina Ovcharenko
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
1-2 13-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo?

Our model gives 54% to Lanlana Tararudee, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.