Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
4-6 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lilli Tagger
1–0
Ludmilla Samsonova
(1 last)
- 09 Apr2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1493 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1509
| Lilli Tagger | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lilli Tagger 1–0 Ludmilla Samsonova (1).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.3 | 13-13.5 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 65% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Lilli Tagger 1 – 0 Ludmilla Samsonova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lilli Tagger 1–0 Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 WTA Linz | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Ludmilla Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Karolina Muchova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Kayla Day WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 15/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Maya Joint US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 56% to Ludmilla Samsonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.