Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:00

Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang

Team pages: Tereza Valentova · Shuai Zhang

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Tereza Valentova Shuai Zhang
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWWWWL
Shuai Zhang 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1534 · Shuai Zhang 1464
Tereza ValentovaShuai Zhang
Our model60%40%
Market70%30%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tereza Valentova (rating 1534 vs 1464).
  • Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Tereza ValentovaShuai Zhang
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.8-1.3
Games (G-P)11.5-9.78-9.6
Aces1.30.9
Double faults4.41.8
1st serve %66.2%60.9%
Break %38.7%37.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tereza Valentova

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/08 Katie Volynets
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/08 Julia Grabher
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Kylie Collins
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Fangran Tian
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/08 Ariana Arseneault
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
17/08 Elina Svitolina
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
14/08 Mary Stoiana
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/08 Taylor Townsend
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/07 Daria Snigur
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/07 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-1 15-16 W

Shuai Zhang

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/10 Xiyu Wang
Asian Games
0-2 3-12 L
01/10 Yulia Putintseva
Asian Games
2-0 12-6 W
24/09 Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Leylah Annie Fernandez
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/08 Ann Li
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/08 Kayla Day
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 14-10 W
07/08 Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/08 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang?

Our model gives 66% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.