Tennis · WTA Osaka · 18/10, 06:00

Prediction: Sinja Kraus vs Sofia Kenin

Team pages: Sinja Kraus · Sofia Kenin

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Sinja Kraus Sofia Kenin
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sinja Kraus 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWLWLW
Sofia Kenin 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sinja Kraus 1551 · Sofia Kenin 1446
Sinja KrausSofia Kenin
Our model65%35%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sinja Kraus (rating 1551 vs 1446).
  • Sinja Kraus is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Sofia Kenin makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Sinja KrausSofia Kenin
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.90.9-1.6
Games (G-P)11.7-10.410.1-12.3
Aces1.11.4
Double faults3.54.8
1st serve %59.8%63.1%
Break %49.4%35.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sinja Kraus

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Momoko Kobori
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 15-9 W
11/10 Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/10 Magda Linette
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
06/10 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
04/10 Dayana Yastremska
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/09 Maya Joint
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
26/09 Reese Brantmeier
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Elena Malygina
WTA Porto · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
23/09 Matilde Jorge
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
21/09 Lizette Cabrera
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Sofia Kenin

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Mei Yamaguchi
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-1 14-7 W
10/10 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/10 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/09 Alina Charaeva
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
02/09 Jessica Pegula
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
31/08 Venus Williams
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
16/08 Marta Kostyuk
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
15/08 Eva Lys
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
01/08 Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
27/07 Emma Navarro
WTA Washington · Hard
0-2 5-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sinja Kraus vs Sofia Kenin?

Our model gives 55% to Sinja Kraus, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.