Tennis · WTA Osaka · 18/10, 04:30

Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Sayaka Ishii

Team pages: Mary Stoiana · Sayaka Ishii

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Mary Stoiana Sayaka Ishii
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWLW
Sayaka Ishii 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1515 · Sayaka Ishii 1535
Mary StoianaSayaka Ishii
Our model47%53%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Mary Stoiana makes many double faults (4.3/match).
  • Note: Sayaka Ishii makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Mary StoianaSayaka Ishii
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.4-1
Games (G-P)11.3-10.412.6-11
Aces12.6
Double faults4.36
1st serve %58.8%69%
Break %46.3%56.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mary Stoiana

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Rinko Matsuda
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton
0-2 10-14 L
01/10 Hanna Chang
W100 Templeton
2-0 12-7 W
18/09 Paula Badosa
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/09 Dominika Salkova
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/09 Claire Liu
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/09 Julia Riera
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
09/09 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Alexandra Eala
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
28/08 Yue Yuan
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Sayaka Ishii

WWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/09 Hiromi Abe
W50 Nanao
0-2 5-12 L
25/09 Rion Itaya
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-2 W
24/09 Natsumi Kawaguchi
W50 Nanao
2-1 18-15 W
23/09 Nagi Hanatani
W50 Nanao
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Rira Kosaka
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-4 W
18/09 Hiromi Abe
W35 Kyoto
1-2 13-16 L
17/09 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Kyoto
2-1 19-16 W
15/09 Cheuk Ying Shek
W35 Kyoto
2-0 13-10 W
30/08 Urszula Radwanska
W50 Leiria
0-2 9-13 L
27/08 Alice Ferlito
W15 Torello · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Sayaka Ishii?

Our model gives 68% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.