Tennis · WTA Osaka · 18/10, 04:30

Prediction: Maya Joint vs Kayla Day

Team pages: Maya Joint · Kayla Day

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Maya Joint Kayla Day
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWWLLWW
Kayla Day 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1515 · Kayla Day 1534
Maya JointKayla Day
Our model47%53%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Maya JointKayla Day
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.5-0.6
Games (G-P)12-11.712-8.3
Aces1.64.7
Double faults4.23.5
1st serve %60.6%70.7%
Break %59%41.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maya Joint

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Kyoka Okamura
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/10 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
30/09 Sinja Kraus
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
27/09 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Seoul · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/09 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/09 Dayeon Back
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/09 Xinxin Yao
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
03/09 Elina Svitolina
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
31/08 Ludmilla Samsonova
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
26/08 Panna Udvardy
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Kayla Day

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Ena Koike
WTA Osaka · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/09 Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
26/09 Ella Mcdonald
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
25/09 Anna Rogers
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
25/09 Evialina Laskevich
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Arina Bulatova
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
17/09 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
1-2 18-16 L
14/09 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
09/09 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Kayla Day?

Our model gives 52% to Maya Joint, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.