Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Rinko Matsuda
Team pages: Mary Stoiana · Rinko Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Stoiana
Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana
6-4 (W-L)
Rinko Matsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1527 · Rinko Matsuda 1498
| Mary Stoiana | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mary Stoiana makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mary Stoiana | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.8 | 12.1-12 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Julia Riera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Rinko Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Sakura Hosogi W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Ikumi Yamazaki W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Hina Inoue W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Ayumi Miyamoto W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Shiyu Ye W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Rinko Matsuda?
Our model gives 73% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.