Tennis · WTA Osaka · 17/10, 06:00

Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Tyra Caterina Grant

Team pages: Aoi Ito · Tyra Caterina Grant

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Aoi Ito Tyra Caterina Grant
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWWL
Tyra Caterina Grant 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1489 · Tyra Caterina Grant 1436
Aoi ItoTyra Caterina Grant
Our model58%42%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aoi Ito (rating 1489 vs 1436).
  • Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (6.1/match).
  • Note: Tyra Caterina Grant makes many double faults (6.4/match).

Statistics

Aoi ItoTyra Caterina Grant
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)9.7-10.39.9-12.4
Aces0.73.1
Double faults6.16.4
1st serve %57.4%65.3%
Break %47.9%42.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aoi Ito

LLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Janice Tjen
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/10 Magdalena Frech
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
10/10 Alycia Parks
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/10 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/09 Nao Hibino
WTA Singapore · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
19/09 Sofya Lansere
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
15/09 Gabriela Knutson
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/09 Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Evora
0-2 7-12 L
11/09 Angelina Voloshchuk
W50 Evora
2-0 12-5 W
10/09 Reese Brantmeier
W50 Evora
2-1 13-11 W

Tyra Caterina Grant

LLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Maria Camila Osorio
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
06/10 Daria Khomutsianskaya
WTA Suzhou · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
29/09 Aliona Falei
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
26/09 Anhelina Kalinina
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Himeno Sakatsume
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
24/08 Savannah Broadus
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Martina Trevisan
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Marie Bouzkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
30/06 Katie Boulter
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Harmony Tan
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Tyra Caterina Grant?

Our model gives 50% to Aoi Ito, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.