Tennis · WTA Osaka · 17/10, 06:00

Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Rina Saigo

Team pages: Harriet Dart · Rina Saigo

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Harriet Dart Rina Saigo
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWWW
Rina Saigo 1-9 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1554 · Rina Saigo 1428
Harriet DartRina Saigo
Our model67%33%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harriet Dart (rating 1554 vs 1428).
  • Harriet Dart is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Harriet DartRina Saigo
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.10.7-1.6
Games (G-P)13-10.39.5-13
Aces2.70.4
Double faults4.61.2
1st serve %69%51.8%
Break %46.3%49.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Harriet Dart

LWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Iva Jovic
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
01/10 Yihan Qu
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
29/09 Yexin Ma
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Tiphanie Lemaitre
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/09 Marie Bouzkova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
31/08 Peyton Stearns
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
28/08 Heather Watson
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
26/08 Kristina Penickova
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 17-10 W
25/08 Jordyn Hazelitt
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 18-8 W
14/08 Peyton Stearns
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Rina Saigo

LLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Yidi Yang
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/09 Alexandra Shubladze
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
19/09 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Seoul · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Ruien Zhang
W35 Shenyang
1-2 10-18 L
09/09 Yuhan Wang
W50 Guiyang
0-2 4-12 L
02/09 Han Shi
W75 Tianjin
0-2 8-12 L
08/08 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W75 Ourense
0-2 7-13 L
07/08 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W75 Ourense
2-1 19-15 W
05/08 Viktoria Morvayova
W75 Ourense
2-1 16-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Rina Saigo?

Our model gives 78% to Harriet Dart, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.