Tennis · WTA Osaka · 17/10, 06:00

Prediction: Claire Liu vs Kanon Sawashiro

Team pages: Claire Liu · Kanon Sawashiro

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Claire Liu Kanon Sawashiro
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Claire Liu 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLL
Kanon Sawashiro 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Claire Liu 1522 · Kanon Sawashiro 1522
Claire LiuKanon Sawashiro
Our model50%50%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Claire Liu makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Claire LiuKanon Sawashiro
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) –
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.3-1
Games (G-P)11.6-9.110.6-11
Aces3.70.6
Double faults4.22
1st serve %68.9%53.2%
Break %41.8%53.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Claire Liu

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/10 Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
05/10 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/09 Mary Stoiana
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/09 Anna Blinkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
11/09 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/09 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/09 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/09 Xiaodi You
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
24/08 Heather Watson
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 12-16 L

Kanon Sawashiro

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Tahlia Kokkinis
W35 Wagga Wagga
1-2 13-16 L
03/10 Naho Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga
0-2 6-12 L
02/10 Nagi Hanatani
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-1 15-13 W
01/10 Ava Beck
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-1 16-14 W
30/09 Olga Danilova
W35 Wagga Wagga
2-0 14-11 W
24/09 Hiromi Abe
W50 Nanao
0-2 2-12 L
23/09 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W50 Nanao
2-0 13-9 W
22/09 Remika Ohashi
W50 Nanao
2-0 13-7 W
16/09 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Kyoto
0-2 2-12 L
15/09 Mana Kawamura
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Claire Liu vs Kanon Sawashiro?

Our model gives 73% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.