Prediction: Heather Watson vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Heather Watson · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Heather Watson
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Heather Watson
5-5 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heather Watson 1500 · Emerson Jones 1490
| Heather Watson | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Heather Watson makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Heather Watson | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13 | 11.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heather Watson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Angela Fita Boluda US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Claire Liu US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Maria Timofeeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Tatiana Prozorova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Mayar Sherif Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Haruka Kaji WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 11/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heather Watson vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 62% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.