Prediction: Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofia Kenin
Team pages: Mei Yamaguchi · Sofia Kenin
Prediction summary
Winner
Mei Yamaguchi
Sofia Kenin
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mei Yamaguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Kenin
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mei Yamaguchi
0–1
Sofia Kenin
(1 last)
- 29 Oct0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mei Yamaguchi 1431 · Sofia Kenin 1421
| Mei Yamaguchi | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mei Yamaguchi 0–1 Sofia Kenin (1).
- Note: Sofia Kenin makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Mei Yamaguchi | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12 | 10.1-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.2% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Mei Yamaguchi 0 – 1 Sofia Kenin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mei Yamaguchi 0–1 Sofia Kenin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/24 WTA Hong Kong | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mei Yamaguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Ulrikke Eikeri WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Dayeon Back W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Reina Goto W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Sofia Kenin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Venus Williams US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/08 | Eva Lys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofia Kenin?
Our model gives 67% to Sofia Kenin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.