Tennis · WTA Osaka · 17/10, 04:30

Prediction: Ena Koike vs Kayla Day

Team pages: Ena Koike · Kayla Day

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Ena Koike Kayla Day
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ena Koike 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWLLWL
Kayla Day 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ena Koike 1435 · Kayla Day 1535
Ena KoikeKayla Day
Our model36%64%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayla Day (rating 1435 vs 1535).
  • Kayla Day is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Ena Koike makes many double faults (6.4/match).

Statistics

Ena KoikeKayla Day
Win %20%70%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.5-0.6
Games (G-P)9.3-11.511.9-8.2
Aces24.7
Double faults6.43.6
1st serve %64.6%70.8%
Break %50.5%42.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ena Koike

LLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Arantxa Rus
W50 Lexington
0-2 4-12 L
30/09 Arianna Zucchini
W100 Templeton
1-2 12-14 L
23/09 Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W50 Berkeley
0-2 11-14 L
12/09 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/09 Nadia Podoroska
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
07/09 Laura Valentina Villamil Arias
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
23/08 Xiyu Wang
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Kylie Collins
W75 Lexington
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Sakura Hosogi
W100 Evansville
1-2 13-15 L
21/07 Kaede Usui
W100 Evansville
2-0 12-5 W

Kayla Day

WWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
26/09 Ella Mcdonald
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-9 W
25/09 Anna Rogers
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
25/09 Evialina Laskevich
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Arina Bulatova
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-1 W
17/09 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
1-2 18-16 L
14/09 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
09/09 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/09 Suzan Lamens
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ena Koike vs Kayla Day?

Our model gives 72% to Kayla Day, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.