Prediction: Maya Joint vs Kyoka Okamura
Team pages: Maya Joint · Kyoka Okamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Maya Joint
Kyoka Okamura
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint
3-7 (W-L)
Kyoka Okamura
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1504 · Kyoka Okamura 1591
| Maya Joint | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyoka Okamura (rating 1504 vs 1591).
- Kyoka Okamura is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Maya Joint | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.1 | 13.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Dayeon Back WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Xinxin Yao WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/09 | Elina Svitolina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Kyoka Okamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 06/10 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Ru Xi Wu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Kyoka Okamura?
Our model gives 57% to Maya Joint, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.