Tennis · W50 Quebec City · 16/10, 17:00
Prediction: Ayana Akli vs Ariana Arseneault
Team pages: Ayana Akli · Ariana Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayana Akli
Ariana Arseneault
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ayana Akli
5-5 (W-L)
Ariana Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayana Akli 1482 · Ariana Arseneault 1481
| Ayana Akli | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ayana Akli | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 9.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayana Akli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Hina Inoue W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Annabelle Xu W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Polona Hercog W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Priscilla Hon W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Ariana Arseneault
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Madison Sieg W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Catarina Gomes WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/09 | Kylie Collins WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Evora |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayana Akli vs Ariana Arseneault?
Our model gives 56% to Ayana Akli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.