Tennis · W50 Quebec City · 16/10, 17:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Mimi Xu
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Mimi Xu
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Mimi Xu
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
4-6 (W-L)
Mimi Xu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1490 · Mimi Xu 1481
| Yuki Naito | Mimi Xu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (7.5/match).
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Mimi Xu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.9 | 9.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Kallista Liu W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Valentina Ryser W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Alexis Nguyen W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Ayla Aksu WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Mimi Xu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Aspen Schuman W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mary Lewis W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Mimi Xu?
Our model gives 51% to Mimi Xu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.