Tennis · W35 Birmingham · 16/10, 13:00
Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Jessika Ponchet
Team pages: Manon Leonard · Jessika Ponchet
Prediction summary
Winner
Manon Leonard
Jessika Ponchet
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard
8-2 (W-L)
Jessika Ponchet
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Manon Leonard
0–1
Jessika Ponchet
(1 last)
- 07 Feb0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1561 · Jessika Ponchet 1540
| Manon Leonard | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jessika Ponchet dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Manon Leonard 0–1 Jessika Ponchet (1).
Statistics
| Manon Leonard | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-7.4 | 11.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Manon Leonard 0 – 1 Jessika Ponchet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manon Leonard 0–1 Jessika Ponchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/23 ITF W60 Grenoble | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Leonard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Esther Adeshina W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Mariella Thamm W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Reims |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Liv Boulard W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 18/09 | Martyna Kubka W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jessika Ponchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Mayuka Aikawa W35 Birmingham |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Hollie Smart W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Priscilla Hon French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Maja Chwalinska W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Clara Burel W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Jessika Ponchet?
Our model gives 54% to Jessika Ponchet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.