Tennis · W35 Birmingham · 15/10, 11:00
Prediction: Mayuka Aikawa vs Jessika Ponchet
Team pages: Mayuka Aikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayuka Aikawa
Jessika Ponchet
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mayuka Aikawa
6-4 (W-L)
Jessika Ponchet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayuka Aikawa 1532 · Jessika Ponchet 1521
| Mayuka Aikawa | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jessika Ponchet dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 41.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Mayuka Aikawa | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.7 | 10.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayuka Aikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Elena Malygina W35 Birmingham |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Margaux Maquet W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/09 | Anna Kmiecik W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Anja Stankovic W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/09 | Defne Cirpanli W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Oceane Babel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Gyeong Seo Lee W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Mirjana Jovanovic W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jessika Ponchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Hollie Smart W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Priscilla Hon French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Maja Chwalinska W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Clara Burel W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 02/05 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayuka Aikawa vs Jessika Ponchet?
Our model gives 70% to Jessika Ponchet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.