Tennis · W50 Quebec City · 15/10, 17:00

Prediction: Madison Sieg vs Ariana Arseneault

Team pages: Madison Sieg · Ariana Arseneault

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Madison Sieg Ariana Arseneault
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Madison Sieg 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLLW
Ariana Arseneault 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Madison Sieg 1482 · Ariana Arseneault 1484
Madison SiegAriana Arseneault
Our model50%50%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Madison SiegAriana Arseneault
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard – 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31-1.2
Games (G-P)9.9-11.29.6-9.9
Aces1.31.7
Double faults3.93.6
1st serve %54.6%59.9%
Break %58.5%46%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Madison Sieg

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Jule Niemeier
W50 Quebec City
2-0 12-7 W
07/10 Astra Sharma
W50 Lexington
0-2 3-12 L
15/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Valencia · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
14/09 Ruth Roura Llaverias
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Tena Lukas
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/09 Katerina Tsygourova
WTA Montreux · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/09 Noelia Manta
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
01/09 Vivian Wolff
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 9-13 L
26/08 Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Oldenzaal
1-2 17-16 L
07/08 Hanne Vandewinkel
W100 Landisville
0-2 3-12 L

Ariana Arseneault

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Justina Mikulskyte
W50 Quebec City
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Angelina Voloshchuk
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
20/09 Catarina Gomes
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
15/09 Kylie Collins
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
14/09 Angelina Voloshchuk
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W50 Evora
0-2 6-13 L
01/09 Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Leiria
1-2 9-15 L
24/08 Tereza Valentova
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/08 Alexandra Osborne
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Madison Sieg vs Ariana Arseneault?

Our model gives 50% to Madison Sieg, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.