Tennis · M15 Maringa · 15/10, 14:00
Prediction: Joao Goncalves vs Rafael Tosetto
Team pages: Joao Goncalves · Rafael Tosetto
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Goncalves
Rafael Tosetto
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Goncalves
5-5 (W-L)
Rafael Tosetto
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Goncalves
1–2
Rafael Tosetto
(3 last)
- 12 Sept0-2 10-13L
- 16 Nov0-2 6-12L
- 13 Apr2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Goncalves 1509 · Rafael Tosetto 1504
| Joao Goncalves | Rafael Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Joao Goncalves 1–2 Rafael Tosetto (3).
Statistics
| Joao Goncalves | Rafael Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 69% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Joao Goncalves 1 – 2 Rafael Tosetto (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Goncalves 1–2 Rafael Tosetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 M15 Leme | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/11/23 M15 Boca Raton | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/04/23 M15 Sunrise | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Goncalves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Leme |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Rafael Tosetto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Jose Pereira Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Curitiba |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M15 Belem |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Belem |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Leme |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Leme |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Goncalves vs Rafael Tosetto?
Our model gives 53% to Joao Goncalves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.