Tennis · M15 Maringa · 16/10, 17:00
Prediction: Pedro Sakamoto vs Nicolas Bruna
Team pages: Pedro Sakamoto · Nicolas Bruna
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Sakamoto
Nicolas Bruna
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Sakamoto
8-2 (W-L)
Nicolas Bruna
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Sakamoto
2–0
Nicolas Bruna
(2 last)
- 31 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 10 Oct2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Sakamoto 1599 · Nicolas Bruna 1463
| Pedro Sakamoto | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1599 vs 1463).
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pedro Sakamoto 2–0 Nicolas Bruna (2).
- Note: Nicolas Bruna makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Pedro Sakamoto | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.9 | 12.3-14.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Pedro Sakamoto 2 – 0 Nicolas Bruna (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Sakamoto 2–0 Nicolas Bruna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/25 ITF M25 Lajeado | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10/25 ITF M25 Rio de Janeiro | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Pedro Dietrich M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Nicolas Bruna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Rocco Valente M15 Leme |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Sakamoto vs Nicolas Bruna?
Our model gives 79% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.