Tennis · UTR Pro Norman · 15/10, 20:30
Prediction: Stijn Paardekooper vs Pablo Roche Alcaya
Team pages: Stijn Paardekooper
Prediction summary
Winner
Stijn Paardekooper
Pablo Roche Alcaya
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Stijn Paardekooper
7-3 (W-L)
Pablo Roche Alcaya
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stijn Paardekooper 1581 · Pablo Roche Alcaya 1504
| Stijn Paardekooper | Pablo Roche Alcaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1581 vs 1504).
- Stijn Paardekooper is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Pablo Roche Alcaya makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Stijn Paardekooper | Pablo Roche Alcaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.1 | 11-11.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stijn Paardekooper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Ben Stecker UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Rodrigo Cruz UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Dmitry Popko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Klok M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Pietro Ricci M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Pablo Roche Alcaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Tito Chavez UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Yago Castellanos M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 23/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Maximo Nagele M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Peru Bayo M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Vicente Alcaraz Galbis M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Liam Delicata M25 Vic |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stijn Paardekooper vs Pablo Roche Alcaya?
Our model gives 70% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.