Tennis · UTR Pro Norman · 16/10, 17:30
Prediction: Pablo Roche Alcaya vs Alejandro Melero Kretzer
Team pages: Pablo Roche Alcaya · Alejandro Melero Kretzer
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Roche Alcaya
Alejandro Melero Kretzer
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Roche Alcaya
6-4 (W-L)
Alejandro Melero Kretzer
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Roche Alcaya 1529 · Alejandro Melero Kretzer 1549
| Pablo Roche Alcaya | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pablo Roche Alcaya makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Alejandro Melero Kretzer makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Pablo Roche Alcaya | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.9 | 12.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Roche Alcaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Tito Chavez UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Yago Castellanos M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 23/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Maximo Nagele M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Peru Bayo M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Vicente Alcaraz Galbis M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Alejandro Melero Kretzer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Dante Teramo UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Michael Lorenzetti UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Louis Hull UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Alejandro Arcila M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Roche Alcaya vs Alejandro Melero Kretzer?
Our model gives 56% to Alejandro Melero Kretzer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.