Tennis · M15 Bol · 15/10, 09:30

Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Henry Best

Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Henry Best

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Nikita Mashtakov Henry Best
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWW
Henry Best 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1571 · Henry Best 1525
Nikita MashtakovHenry Best
Our model57%43%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1571 vs 1525).
  • Nikita Mashtakov is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Nikita MashtakovHenry Best
Win %80%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.51.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.9-8.89.2-8.3
Aces1.21
Double faults1.71.3
1st serve %66.8%62.2%
Break %53.4%47.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nikita Mashtakov

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
04/10 Noah Lopez
M15 Sibenik
2-0 12-4 W
03/10 Charles Bertimon
M15 Sibenik
2-0 13-8 W
02/10 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M15 Sibenik
2-1 16-18 W
01/10 Matthias Ujvary
M15 Sibenik
2-0 13-9 W
29/09 Jonas Gundacker
M15 Sibenik
2-0 12-6 W
22/09 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
21/09 Pavlos Tsitsipas
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/09 Alexander Weis
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/09 Filip Pieczonka
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Henry Best

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Piet Luis Pinter
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Veljko Krstic
M25 Zlatibor
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 David Petrovic
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Thiago Pernas
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/09 Toby Clarke
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 2-12 L
18/08 Alex Ganchev
M25 Slovenj Gradec
1-2 10-9 L
01/07 Lorenzo Angelini
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Peter Benjamin Privara
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 11-9 W
26/06 Dominik Simunovic
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Henry Best?

Our model gives 75% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.