Tennis · W50 Quebec City · 15/10, 19:00
Prediction: Mimi Xu vs Cadence Brace
Team pages: Mimi Xu · Cadence Brace
Prediction summary
Winner
Mimi Xu
Cadence Brace
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mimi Xu
4-6 (W-L)
Cadence Brace
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mimi Xu 1435 · Cadence Brace 1550
| Mimi Xu | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cadence Brace (rating 1435 vs 1550).
- Cadence Brace is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (7.5/match).
- Note: Cadence Brace makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mimi Xu | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.1 | 10.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mimi Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Aspen Schuman W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mary Lewis W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Cadence Brace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Lilian Poling W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Astra Sharma W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 07/10 | Chukwumelije Clarke W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Amandine Hesse W35 Baza |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Alba Rey Garcia W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Elza Tomase W35 Baza |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Emily Appleton W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Solana Sierra WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 13/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/09 | Ana Candiotto WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mimi Xu vs Cadence Brace?
Our model gives 63% to Cadence Brace, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.