Tennis · UTR Pro Norman · 14/10, 17:30
Prediction: Stijn Paardekooper vs Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
Team pages: Stijn Paardekooper · Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Stijn Paardekooper
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stijn Paardekooper
7-3 (W-L)
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stijn Paardekooper
1–1
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
(2 last)
- 27 Oct2-0 12-8W
- 27 Jul1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stijn Paardekooper 1579 · Thomas Nicholas Gadecki 1511
| Stijn Paardekooper | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1579 vs 1511).
- Stijn Paardekooper is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Thomas Nicholas Gadecki makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Stijn Paardekooper | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.5 | 9.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 65% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Stijn Paardekooper 1 – 1 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stijn Paardekooper 1–1 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/25 UTR Pro College Station | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07/25 UTR Pro Waco | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stijn Paardekooper
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Rodrigo Cruz UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Dmitry Popko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Klok M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Pietro Ricci M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Facundo Yunis UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Marshall Tutu UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Ben Stecker UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/08 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Zane Stevens M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Harrison Satara M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Taiki Takizawa M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stijn Paardekooper vs Thomas Nicholas Gadecki?
Our model gives 67% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.