Tennis · UTR Pro Norman · 14/10, 16:00
Prediction: Tito Chavez vs Asahi Harazaki
Team pages: Tito Chavez · Asahi Harazaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Tito Chavez
Asahi Harazaki
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tito Chavez
4-6 (W-L)
Asahi Harazaki
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tito Chavez 1450 · Asahi Harazaki 1552
| Tito Chavez | Asahi Harazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asahi Harazaki (rating 1450 vs 1552).
- Asahi Harazaki is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Asahi Harazaki makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Tito Chavez | Asahi Harazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.6 | 10.2-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tito Chavez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Pablo Roche Alcaya UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Gabriel Elicha Navas M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Ryan Cozad M15 Columbia |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Calvin Mueller M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Asahi Harazaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Pablo Roche Alcaya UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Jonah Braswell M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Jack Bruce-Smith M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Yua Taka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tito Chavez vs Asahi Harazaki?
Our model gives 69% to Asahi Harazaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.