Tennis · W35 Birmingham · 14/10, 11:00
Prediction: Esther Adeshina vs Manon Leonard
Team pages: Esther Adeshina · Manon Leonard
Prediction summary
Winner
Esther Adeshina
Manon Leonard
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Esther Adeshina
5-5 (W-L)
Manon Leonard
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esther Adeshina 1516 · Manon Leonard 1530
| Esther Adeshina | Manon Leonard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Esther Adeshina makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Esther Adeshina | Manon Leonard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.4 | 10.6-9 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esther Adeshina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Lara Savic W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Antonina Sushkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Joody Elkady W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Elena Jamshidi W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Manon Leonard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Mariella Thamm W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Reims |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Liv Boulard W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 18/09 | Martyna Kubka W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esther Adeshina vs Manon Leonard?
Our model gives 65% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

