Tennis · W35 Birmingham · 15/10, 12:30
Prediction: Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet
Team pages: Amelia Rajecki
Prediction summary
Winner
Amelia Rajecki
Jessika Ponchet
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Amelia Rajecki
8-2 (W-L)
Jessika Ponchet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amelia Rajecki 1540 · Jessika Ponchet 1522
| Amelia Rajecki | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jessika Ponchet dominates on serve: 10 aces and 42% break avg.
- Note: Amelia Rajecki makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Amelia Rajecki | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.3 | 11.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 10 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amelia Rajecki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Anna Ozerova W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Yuhan Wang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Chengyiyi Yuan WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Hiroko Kuwata WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/09 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Maria Toma W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 09/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Brooke Black W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Jessika Ponchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Hollie Smart W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Priscilla Hon French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Maja Chwalinska W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Clara Burel W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 02/05 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet?
Our model gives 57% to Jessika Ponchet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.