Tennis · M15 Maringa · 14/10, 16:30
Prediction: Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava vs Nicolas Bruna
Team pages: Nicolas Bruna
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
Nicolas Bruna
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolas Bruna
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava 1526 · Nicolas Bruna 1417
| Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava (rating 1526 vs 1417).
- Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Nicolas Bruna makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | Nicolas Bruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.7-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-7.9 | 11.5-14.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Tomas Dummer Macedo M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 02/09 | Lucca Pinto M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Mateus Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Gabriel Augusto Carvalho M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Enzo Lima M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Nicolas Bruna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Rocco Valente M15 Leme |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M25 Bacau |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava vs Nicolas Bruna?
Our model gives 64% to Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.