Tennis · W50 Quebec City · 13/10, 18:30
Prediction: Michaela Bayerlova vs Mimi Xu
Team pages: Michaela Bayerlova · Mimi Xu
Prediction summary
Winner
Michaela Bayerlova
Mimi Xu
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Michaela Bayerlova
5-5 (W-L)
Mimi Xu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michaela Bayerlova 1534 · Mimi Xu 1454
| Michaela Bayerlova | Mimi Xu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michaela Bayerlova (rating 1534 vs 1454).
- Michaela Bayerlova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Michaela Bayerlova | Mimi Xu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-8.9 | 9.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michaela Bayerlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Mia Kupres W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/10 | Andrea Taylor W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Carson Tanguilig W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Jahnie Van Zyl W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Anais Gabriel W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Olga Danilova W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Christina Bednarczyk W35 Verbier Qual |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Mimi Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Aspen Schuman W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mary Lewis W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Eva Lopez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michaela Bayerlova vs Mimi Xu?
Our model gives 64% to Mimi Xu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.