Tennis · W50 Quebec City · 14/10, 17:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito
Team pages: Valentina Ryser · Yuki Naito
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Ryser
Yuki Naito
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Ryser
7-3 (W-L)
Yuki Naito
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentina Ryser
0–1
Yuki Naito
(1 last)
- 24 May0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1508 · Yuki Naito 1438
| Valentina Ryser | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ryser (rating 1508 vs 1438).
- Head-to-head: Valentina Ryser 0–1 Yuki Naito (1).
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (9.4/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.6 | 9.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 9.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Valentina Ryser 0 – 1 Yuki Naito (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentina Ryser 0–1 Yuki Naito
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 W100 Takasaki | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W35 Baza |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Daniela Vismane W35 Baza |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Urszula Radwanska W35 Baza |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Clara Vlasselaer W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Mara Guth W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Liv Boulard W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Iva Ivankovic W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Yuki Naito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Alexis Nguyen W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Ayla Aksu WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito?
Our model gives 61% to Valentina Ryser, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.