Tennis · W50 Quebec City · 13/10, 17:00
Prediction: Raphaelle Lacasse vs Jamilah Snells
Team pages: Raphaelle Lacasse · Jamilah Snells
Prediction summary
Winner
Raphaelle Lacasse
Jamilah Snells
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Raphaelle Lacasse
7-3 (W-L)
Jamilah Snells
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Raphaelle Lacasse
1–0
Jamilah Snells
(1 last)
- 01 Feb2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raphaelle Lacasse 1555 · Jamilah Snells 1480
| Raphaelle Lacasse | Jamilah Snells | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raphaelle Lacasse (rating 1555 vs 1480).
- Head-to-head: Raphaelle Lacasse 1–0 Jamilah Snells (1).
- Note: Raphaelle Lacasse makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Raphaelle Lacasse | Jamilah Snells | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 9.2-9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 59.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Raphaelle Lacasse 1 – 0 Jamilah Snells (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raphaelle Lacasse 1–0 Jamilah Snells
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 W50 Porto | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raphaelle Lacasse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Andrea Cabio W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Amy Lu W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Lina Glushko W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Berta Bonardi W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Jamilah Snells
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Maya Iacoban W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Eve Thibault W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Iva Primorac Pavicic WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Savannah Broadus W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Briley Rhoden W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/05 | Alessandra Crump W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 27/04 | Martha Matoula W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Maria Kononova W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raphaelle Lacasse vs Jamilah Snells?
Our model gives 73% to Raphaelle Lacasse, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.