Tennis · W35 Monastir · 13/10, 10:30
Prediction: Sophia Biolay vs Midori Castillo Meza
Team pages: Sophia Biolay · Midori Castillo Meza
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophia Biolay
Midori Castillo Meza
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sophia Biolay
6-4 (W-L)
Midori Castillo Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophia Biolay 1558 · Midori Castillo Meza 1462
| Sophia Biolay | Midori Castillo Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophia Biolay (rating 1558 vs 1462).
Statistics
| Sophia Biolay | Midori Castillo Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9 | 9.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 49.7% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophia Biolay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/10 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Polina Berezina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Ella Haavisto W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Marie Mattel W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Midori Castillo Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Tereza Krejcova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bernales W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophia Biolay vs Midori Castillo Meza?
Our model gives 72% to Sophia Biolay, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.