Tennis · W35 Monastir · 13/10, 10:30

Prediction: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Miyu Nakashima

Team pages: Marta Soriano Santiago · Miyu Nakashima

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Marta Soriano Santiago Miyu Nakashima
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Soriano Santiago 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLL
Miyu Nakashima 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marta Soriano Santiago 1528 · Miyu Nakashima 1509
Marta Soriano SantiagoMiyu Nakashima
Our model53%47%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Marta Soriano Santiago makes many double faults (7.8/match).

Statistics

Marta Soriano SantiagoMiyu Nakashima
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.1-9.98.9-8.1
Aces0.60.9
Double faults7.82
1st serve %61.3%56.9%
Break %47.7%61.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marta Soriano Santiago

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
03/10 Sophia Biolay
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/10 Astrid Cirotte
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-10 W
01/10 Nour Sahnoun
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/09 Anastasia Bertacchi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Sarah Iliev
W15 Dijon
1-2 10-14 L
10/09 Diana Marcinkevica
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-3 W
09/09 Ninon Carpentier
W15 Dijon
2-1 17-16 W
08/09 Victoria Pohle
W15 Dijon
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Jahnie Van Zyl
W15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 5-12 L

Miyu Nakashima

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Milla Sequeira
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 9-8 L
22/09 Chia Yi Tsao
W50 Nanao
0-2 2-12 L
21/09 Eme Shinchi
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-2 W
15/09 Mutsumi Uemura
W35 Kyoto
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Chenting Zhu
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 5-12 L
13/03 Honoka Uchiyama
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
12/03 Michiru Furuya
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/03 Miyu Kusakabe
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
09/03 Aoi Yoshida
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
07/03 Mua Shigeta
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marta Soriano Santiago vs Miyu Nakashima?

Our model gives 67% to Marta Soriano Santiago, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.