Tennis · W35 Monastir · 13/10, 13:30

Prediction: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Nina Sozaonova

Team pages: Sofia Camila Rojas · Nina Sozaonova

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Sofia Camila Rojas Nina Sozaonova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Camila Rojas 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLL
Nina Sozaonova 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Camila Rojas 1570 · Nina Sozaonova 1480
Sofia Camila RojasNina Sozaonova
Our model63%37%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1570 vs 1480).
  • Sofia Camila Rojas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Nina Sozaonova makes many double faults (6.9/match).

Statistics

Sofia Camila RojasNina Sozaonova
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.5-10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)12-10.48.8-10.9
Aces1.82.1
Double faults1.46.9
1st serve %63%62.8%
Break %37.9%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Camila Rojas

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Angela Fita Boluda
W50 Yecla
1-2 13-17 L
23/09 Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W50 Yecla
2-1 16-13 W
21/09 Indianna Spink
W50 Yecla
2-1 18-16 W
20/09 Elizabeth Jurna
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
05/09 Elyse Tse
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
04/09 Marie Villet
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-7 W
03/09 Alexandra Vagramov
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-12 W
02/09 Francesca Dell'edera
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/08 Riko Kikawada
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Nina Sozaonova

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Haruna Arakawa
W15 Astana
0-2 5-13 L
11/08 Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
W15 Astana
2-1 18-17 W
07/08 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
06/08 Hee Rae Im
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
04/08 Anjali Rathi
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
03/08 Aishwarya Jadhav
W15 Astana
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
W15 Astana
1-2 11-17 L
07/07 Sera Nishimoto
W15 Astana
0-2 10-13 L
04/05 Karine Sarkisova
W50 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Camila Rojas vs Nina Sozaonova?

Our model gives 73% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.